ACUS03 KWNS 240728

SWODY3

SPC AC 240727



Day 3 Convective Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0227 AM CDT Fri Oct 24 2025



Valid 261200Z - 271200Z



...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF

THE CENTRAL GULF COAST...



...SUMMARY...

Isolated strong to severe storms are possible through midday Sunday

over the central Gulf Coast. A second round of strong storms is

possible late, though uncertainty is high.



...Central Gulf Coast...

The upper trough over east TX is forecast to gradually weaken while

moving eastward over the lower MS Valley and central Gulf Coast. An

MCS is likely to be ongoing early Sunday over parts of the lower MS

Valley. Accompanied by a weak surface low, this convective complex

should gradually move eastward with a continued isolated damaging

gust threat across southern LA and MS. The MCS should begin to

weaken by midday as it outpaces the surface-based warm sector

farther east.

Isolated strong storms may redevelop over adjacent Gulf waters late

Sunday into early Monday morning aided by onshore flow associated

with a modest low-level jet expected to develop across southern AL

and the western FL Panhandle. It remains unclear if the more

unstable surface-based warm sector attendant to a maritime front

will move inland in the wake of the earlier MCS/outflow. Should it

do so, supercells with isolated damaging gusts and brief tornado

potential will be possible over southern AL and the western FL

Panhandle into early Monday.



..Lyons.. 10/24/2025



$$