ACUS03 KWNS 211853

SWODY3

SPC AC 211852



Day 3 Convective Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0152 PM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026



Valid 231200Z - 241200Z



...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF

GA/SC AND SOUTHERN NC...



...SUMMARY...

Isolated strong to severe storms are possible on Monday across parts

of the Carolinas and Georgia.



...Parts of the Carolinas and Georgia...

A mid/upper-level shortwave trough initially near the lower Great

Lakes region is forecast to move offshore of New England by Monday

night. In the wake of this shortwave, a cold front will continue

moving southward across parts of the Carolinas and Southeast. Along

and south of the front, heating and modest low-level moisture (with

dewpoints in the 50s to near 60 F) will result in some diurnal

destabilization, with MLCAPE potentially increasing into the

500-1000 J/kg range. 



With generally limited frontal convergence and only weak to modest

large-scale ascent, storm coverage may remain isolated near/south of

the front. Modest west-northwesterly mid/upper-level flow will

provide sufficient deep-layer shear for some storm organization, if

any robust updrafts can be sustained. Isolated hail and/or

strong/damaging gusts could occur with the strongest storms, though

coverage appears limited at this time.



..Dean.. 03/21/2026



$$