ACUS03 KWNS 071913

SWODY3

SPC AC 071912



Day 3 Convective Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0212 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025



Valid 091200Z - 101200Z



...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...



...SUMMARY...

Thunderstorms are possible across portions of the the Middle

Mississippi Valley and northern High Plains, though severe storms

are not expected.



...Synopsis and Discussion...

On Wednesday, an upper trough will dive southeastward from the

northern Plains into the mid MS/OH Valleys, as an upper high builds

over the West. High pressure will exist behind an exiting

northeastern trough, and ahead of the Plains trough. As such, this

system will interact with very limited moisture and instability.



A plume of low-level lapse rates/heating will develop late in the

day from KS into MO, toward an area of low pressure. This low will

travel east toward IN by 12Z Thursday, with a strong cold front

extending south into LA and MS by that time.



Though only weakly unstable, thunderstorms are expected over parts

of the mid MS Valley to the lower OH Valley. Forecast soundings

depict a few hundred J/kg MUCAPE, with relatively dry sub-cloud

layers and strong shear. While strong gusts cannot be ruled out with

some of the convection, the overall threat appears low.



..Jewell.. 04/07/2025



$$