ACUS03 KWNS 051915

SWODY3

SPC AC 051914



Day 3 Convective Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0214 PM CDT Tue May 05 2026



Valid 071200Z - 081200Z



...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ...



...SUMMARY...

A few strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Thursday across

portions of the central Gulf coast into South Carolina.



...Synopsis...

A strong upper-level speed max will move across the Southeast to Mid

Atlantic Thursday as the parent upper trough moves across the Great

Lakes and into the Northeast. A cold front will extend roughly from

the central Carolinas to the north-central Gulf Coast by late

afternoon, with 60s F dewpoints ahead of it.



Scattered thunderstorms may be ongoing Thursday morning across much

of this region ahead of the cold front, within the 850 mb theta-e

plume. A few strong gusts will be possible. Thereafter, the rapid

progression of the upper trough will foster midlevel drying, with

veering low-level winds. As such, the greatest potential for a few

strong storms appear to be from morning through midday prior to the

front moving offshore. Forecast soundings show very strong

deep-layer shear, but also increasing midlevel subsidence which may

counteract additional late afternoon development. Any additional

late day development should be quite isolated and marginal in

nature.



..Jewell.. 05/05/2026



$$