ACUS02 KWNS 060512

SWODY2

SPC AC 060510



Day 2 Convective Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

1210 AM CDT Wed May 06 2026



Valid 071200Z - 081200Z



...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS FAR

SOUTHERN AL AND THE FL PANHANDLE INTO SOUTH CAROLINA...



...SUMMARY...

A few strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Thursday across

portions of the central Gulf coast into South Carolina.



...Southern AL/FL Panhandle into SC...



Moderate to strong deep-layer west/southwesterly flow will persist

across the Southeast on Thursday as an upper trough pivots across

Eastern Seaboard. At the surface, a cold front is forecast from the

southern Mid-Atlantic to southern MS/southeast LA Thursday morning.

This boundary will develop east/southeast through the period moving

off the Atlantic coast and arcing across north-central FL and just

off the Gulf coast. Ahead of the front, a seasonally moist boundary

layer will be in place with dewpoints from the mid 60s to low 70s,

supporting MLCAPE up to around 1500 J/kg. 



Some showers and thunderstorms could be ongoing near the front at

the beginning of the period. Where stronger heating can occur ahead

of this activity and the front, intensification of morning

convection and/or new development is possible. Given deep-layer flow

parallel to the boundary and poor frontal convergence, clusters and

linear segments are most probable. Given strong deep-layer flow,

isolated strong to severe wind gusts will be possible. Speed shear

in the lowest couple of kilometers and 0-1 SRH up to 150 m2/s2 could

also support a brief tornado, but strong/damaging gusts are expected

to be the main hazard.



..Leitman.. 05/06/2026



$$