ACUS02 KWNS 031632

SWODY2

SPC AC 031631



Day 2 Convective Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

1031 AM CST Tue Feb 03 2026



Valid 041200Z - 051200Z



...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...



...SUMMARY...

Severe storms are not expected on Wednesday or Wednesday night.



...Discussion...

A highly amplified upper pattern is anticipated Wednesday with a

longwave trough over the East and an anticyclone/ridge in the West.

A positive-tilt shortwave impulse digging through the basal portion

of the trough will yield weak cyclogenesis over the Southeast. A

surface cold front will trail southwestward from this cyclone into

the northwest Gulf on Wednesday morning. A combination of 50s

boundary-layer dew points and weak mid-level lapse rates should

support only scant surface to slightly elevated buoyancy near the

front. Low thunder probabilities are apparent during the morning to

afternoon, along a portion of the Gulf Coast from far southeast LA

to the FL Panhandle. The paucity of instability and modest

lower-level shear should minimize severe-storm potential.



..Grams.. 02/03/2026



$$