ACUS01 KWNS 020545

SWODY1

SPC AC 020544



Day 1 Convective Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

1144 PM CST Sun Feb 01 2026



Valid 021200Z - 031200Z



...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...



...SUMMARY...

Thunderstorms are not expected across the U.S. today through

tonight.



...Synopsis...

Cool and stable conditions will persist across much of the country

for today and will limit thunderstorm potential. Modest moisture is

expected late tonight into eastern TX as a surface high gradually

shifts east and supports onshore trajectories out of the

northwestern Gulf. A cold front pushing south across the Plains

overnight will begin to impinge on this returning moisture across

the Texarkana region between 09-12 UTC Tuesday morning. While

shallow convective showers appear probable, consensus among forecast

guidance is that warm mid-level temperatures will limit thunderstorm

potential until more substantial cooling aloft occurs (which will

most likely occur after 12 UTC Tuesday).



..Moore/Wendt.. 02/02/2026



$$