ABNT20 KNHC 201144

TWOAT 



Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

800 AM EDT Wed Aug 20 2025



For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:



Active Systems:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 

Erin, located over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean.



Near the Leeward Islands in the Tropical Atlantic:

A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic continues 

to produce a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. 

Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of 

this system, and a tropical depression could form late this week or 

over the weekend while it moves near or to the north of the northern 

Leeward Islands.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.



Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL99):

A tropical wave located to the southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands 

continues to produce a concentrated area of showers and 

thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions appear marginally favorable 

for additional development over the next day or so while the system 

moves westward at around 15 mph and a short-lived tropical 

depression could form.  By the end of the week, environmental 

conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further 

development.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium..40 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.



$$

Forecaster Bucci/R. Zelinsky