ABNT20 KNHC 192350

TWOAT 



Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

800 PM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025



For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:



Active Systems:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 

Erin, located over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean.



Near the Leeward Islands in the Tropical Atlantic:

A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic continues 

to produce a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. 

Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of 

this system, and a tropical depression could form late this 

week or over the weekend while it moves near or the north of the 

northern Leeward Islands.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.



Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL99):

A tropical wave located just southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands 

continues to produce shower and thunderstorm activity while it 

moves westward at about 15 mph.  A short-lived tropical depression 

could form during the next day or two before environmental 

conditions before unfavorable for further development late this 

week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.



$$

Forecaster Blake